@article {56307, title = {Modelling Contingent Technology Adoption in Farming Irrigation Communities}, journal = {Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation}, volume = {22}, number = {4}, year = {2019}, pages = {1}, abstract = {Of all the uses of water, agriculture is the one that requires the greatest proportion of resources worldwide. Consequently, it is a salient subject for environmental policy-making, and adoption of modern irrigation systems is a key means to improve water use efficiency. In this paper we present an agent-based model of the adoption process \textemdash{}known as "modernisation"\textemdash{} of a community constituted by farmer agents. The phenomenon is approached as a contingent innovation adoption: a first stage to reach a collective agreement followed by an individual adoption decision. The model is based on historical data from two Spanish irrigation communities during the period 1975-2010. Results suggest that individual profits and farm extension (as proxy of social influence) are suitable assumptions when modelling the modernisation of communities in regions where agriculture is strongly market-oriented and water is scarce. These encouraging results point towards the interest of more sophisticated socio-cognitive modelling within a more realistic socio-hydrologic context. }, keywords = {Agent-Based Modeling, Innovation Diffusion, Irrigation Agriculture, Policy-Making, Socio-Hydrology}, issn = {1460-7425}, doi = {10.18564/jasss.4100}, url = {http://jasss.soc.surrey.ac.uk/22/4/1.html}, author = {Antoni Perello-Moragues and Noriega, Pablo and Poch, Manel} }